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However, we reiterate our view that even in a scenario where NS1 remains at zero, we estimate NW European gas markets can balance with Bal Summer TTF prices in a 215-230 EUR/MWh range (depending on how much the lower NS1 flows are offset by lower German re-exports of Russian gas), vs our 176 EUR TTF expectations under NS1 at a 20% flow. Importantly, our price scenarios rely on our estimated demand elasticity of 1 mcm/d per 1.8 EUR move in prices.
Q: Do you have a reship policy if it doesn’t make it to me? Answer: YES we will re-ship the package at no cost to you if it does not get to you. We have never lost a package within Swiss, Germany, Sweden, Norway, GB, NL, FR, IT, US.